Houston Real Estate Update: Nov 2014 – Strong Sales Keep Supply Low
A traditionally quieter time of year for real estate is anything but.
HOUSTON HOME SALES SOAR IN OCTOBER
The following is the most recent Houston MLS Report, published by the Houston Association of Realtors. The data covers Houston homes for sale and real estate trends from the last twelve months (October 2013 – October 2014).
October Houston Real Estate Milestones:
- Single-family home sales rose 12.3 percent versus October 2013;
- Total property sales were up 12.9 percent year-over year;
- Total dollar volume climbed 22.2 percent, increasing from $1.7 billion to $2 billion on a year-over-year basis;
- At $192,000, the single-family home median price achieved a record high for an October;
- At $262,013, the single-family home average price also reached an October high;
- Days on Market for single-family homes was 51, slightly above July’s record low of 45 days;
- Rentals of single-family homes shot up 13.1 percent year-over-year and the cost of renting those homes increased 4.0 percent to $1,711.
- Townhouse/condominium rentals rose 8.5 percent, with rents flat at $1,592.
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Houston Real Estate Updates in October
The Houston real estate market plowed through October at full-throttle, driving prices up once again and ensuring that the supply of homes remained at historic lows. The greatest sales activity took place among homes priced between $250,000 and the millions.
According to the latest monthly report prepared by the Houston Association of Realtors (HAR), single-family home sales totaled 6,639 units, an increase of 12.3 percent compared to October 2013. Months of inventory, an approximation of how long it will take to deplete the current active housing inventory based on the previous 12 months of sales, dipped to a 2.8-months supply versus a 3.1-months supply last October. That is down slightly from a 2.9-months supply in September 2014 and compares to the current national supply of 5.3 months of inventory.
Home prices climbed to record highs for an October. The average price of a single-family home jumped 9.8 percent year-over-year to $262,013. The median price—the figure at which half the homes sold for more and half for less—rose 8.3 percent to $192,000.
October sales of all property types totaled 8,106 units, a 12.9-percent increase compared to the same month last year. Total dollar volume for properties sold rocketed 22.2 percent to $2 billion versus $1.7 billion a year earlier.
“Most Realtors are not accustomed to this brisk a pace of home sales in Houston this late in the year,” said HAR Chair Chaille Ralph with Heritage Texas Properties. “This is typically when thoughts turn to the holidays and sales volume slows. Much of this year has defied prediction, but what helped the market keep up with buyer demand in October was an 11.1 percent increase in new listings.”
Job growth continues to serve as one of the principal drivers of the Houston housing market. The November edition of the Greater Houston Partnership’s (GHP) Economy at a Glance reports that employment in the greater Houston area grew 4.3 percent in the 12 months ending September 2014, leading the nation’s major metro areas in the pace of job growth. The report cites U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics data stating that the Houston metro-area created 120,700 jobs on a seasonally adjusted basis, a close second to the 129,100 jobs added in the New York metro area during the same period. “This level of job creation is remarkable given that Houston is home to 2.9 million jobs, a third of New York’s 8.8 million jobs,” the GHP report concludes.
October Monthly Market Comparison
October delivered across-the-board gains for the Houston real estate market, with total property sales, total dollar volume and average and median pricing all up when compared to October 2013.
Month-end pending sales for all property types totaled 4,355. That is up 9.0 percent compared to last year and is considered a harbinger of more positive sales activity when the November sales figures are tallied. Active listings, or the number of available properties, at the end of October was 28,333, 10.4 percent below last year.
After holding steady at a 3.0-months supply in July and August and slipping to a 2.9-months supply in September, Houston’s housing inventory declined to a 2.8-months supply in October. One year earlier, it stood at a 3.1-months supply. According to the National Association of Realtors, the current supply of homes for the U.S. stands at a 5.3-months supply
|CATEGORIES||OCTOBER 2013||OCTOBER 2014||CHANGE|
|Total property sales||7,182||8,106||12.9%|
|Total dollar volume||$1,650,628,141||$2,016,260,648||22.2%|
|Total active listings||31,638||28,333||-10.4%|
|Total pending sales||3,995||4,355||9.0%|
|Single-family home sales||5,912||6,639||12.3%|
|Single-family average sales price||$238,525||$262,013||9.8%|
|Single-family median sales price||$177,330||$192,000||8.3%|
|Single-family months inventory*||3.1||2.8||-10.1%|
* Months inventory estimates the number of months it will take to deplete current active inventory based on the prior 12 months sales activity. This figure is representative of the single-family homes market.
Single-Family Homes Update
October single-family home sales totaled 6,639, up 12.3 percent from October 2013.
Home prices reached record highs for an October in Houston. The single-family average price increased 9.8 percent from last year to $262,013 and the median price climbed 8.3 percent year-over-year to $192,000. The number of days it took a home took to sell¬, or Days on Market, was 51 versus 57 last October. In July 2014, it reached a record low of 45 days.
Broken out by housing segment, October sales performed as follows:
- $1 – $79,999: decreased 25.7 percent
- $80,000 – $149,999: decreased 2.4 percent
- $150,000 – $249,999: increased 14.9 percent
- $250,000 – $499,999: increased 27.1 percent
- $500,000 – $1 million and above: increased 31.9 percent
HAR also breaks out the sales figures for existing single-family homes. In October, existing home sales totaled 5,746. That is up 14.9 percent from the same month last year. The average sales price increased 8.7 percent year-over-year to $241,287 while the median sales price rose 8.8 percent to $179,500.
Sales of townhouses and condominiums jumped 12.4 percent in October versus one year earlier. A total of 634 units sold last month compared to 564 properties in October 2013. The average price increased 3.1 percent to $193,635 and the median price shot up 9.9 percent to $147,750. Inventory matched September’s 2.5-months supply but was down compared to the 2.9-months supply a year earlier.
Lease Property Update
Demand for lease properties persisted in October as inventory of for-sale properties shrank. Single-family home rentals climbed 13.1 percent compared to October 2013, while year-over-year townhouse/condominium rentals were unchanged. The average rent for a single-family home was up 4.0 percent to $1,711 and the average rent for a townhouse/condominium was up 8.5 percent at $1,592.
The computerized Multiple Listing Service of the Houston Association of REALTORS® includes residential properties and new homes listed by 25,000 REALTORS® throughout Harris, Fort Bend and Montgomery counties, as well as parts of Brazoria, Galveston, Waller and Wharton counties. Residential home sales statistics as well as listing information for more than 50,000 properties may be found on the Internet at http://www.har.com.
The information published and disseminated to the HAR Multiple Listing Services is communicated verbatim, without change by Multiple Listing Services, as filed by MLS participants.
The MLS does not verify the information provided and disclaims any responsibility for its accuracy. All data is preliminary and subject to change. Monthly sales figures reported since November 1998 includes a statistical estimation to account for late entries. Twelve-month totals may vary from actual end-of-year figures. (Single-family detached homes were broken out separately in monthly figures beginning February 1988.)
Founded in 1918, the Houston Association of REALTORS® (HAR) is a 26,000-member organization of real estate professionals engaged in every aspect of the industry, including residential and commercial sales and leasing, appraisal, property management and counseling. It is the largest individual dues-paying membership trade association in Houston as well as the second largest local association/board of REALTORS® in the United States.